Within parent city
74
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Avondale Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04013082024 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,262 · 92% of tract blocks fall in Avondale
Census tract 04013082024 covers part of Avondale, AZ, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,262. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,812
Renter share62.6%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate12.9%
Median income$68,889
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
National
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Avondale and the region
Centroid at 33.4702, -112.2812 · click any tract to drill in
Why Avondale scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Avondale
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
12.9% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,859 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avondale
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avondale
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avondale
6.4
How Avondale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 540Total filings over 5 yrs
- 539.34%Avg annual filing rate
- 25.2%Peak (2005)
- 138Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 59% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.8%Housing insecurity
- 8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.3%Food insecurity
- 13.2%SNAP enrollment
- 10.9%Transit barriers
- 16.6%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 27.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Avondale
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $68,889, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.9/10. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 540 filings here across 5 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2005, when 25.2% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 539.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.2/10. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013082024
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013082024?
Census tract 04013082024 in Avondale scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013082024?
Median gross rent is $1,859/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013082024?
12.9% of residents in tract 04013082024 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,262.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013082024?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 69th, minority 78th, housing 71th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013082024?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 540 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013082024 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 539.34% of renter households, peaking at 25.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013082024 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013082024 compare to Avondale overall?
Tract 04013082024 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Avondale at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avondale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Avondale
Top eight tracts in Avondale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013082209
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Coldwater Springs
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Litchfield Junction
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Litchfield Junction
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Alamar
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013082210
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Sage Creek
3.9
/ 10 · Low
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