Within neighborhood
18
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Melrose District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix
Tract 04013110400 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,948 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 04013110400 covers part of the Melrose District area of Phoenix, AZ, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,948 residents. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units2,333
Renter share55.2%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate15.6%
Median income$62,672
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.4877, -112.0916 · click any tract to drill in
Why Melrose District scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
15.6% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,437 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Melrose District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 681Total filings over 5 yrs
- 12.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.9%Peak (2004)
- 113Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Melrose District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.5%Housing insecurity
- 9.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.2%Food insecurity
- 16.1%SNAP enrollment
- 11.2%Transit barriers
- 16.3%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 31.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Melrose District
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
It sits 1.1 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 681 filings here across 5 tracked years.
At $1,437 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Phoenix commands. The worst year on record was 2004, when 14.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 12.6% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013110400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013110400?
Census tract 04013110400 in the Melrose District neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013110400?
Median gross rent is $1,437/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013110400?
15.6% of residents in tract 04013110400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,948.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013110400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 4th, minority 73th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 04013110400 considered part of Melrose District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013110400 fall within Melrose District (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013110400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 681 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013110400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.62% of renter households, peaking at 14.9% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013110400 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013110400 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013110400 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Young America Homes
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Longhaven West
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
County Fair West
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Cartwright
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Alhambra
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013114704
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013116800
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Turtle Creek
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Related