Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Union Park at Norterra Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix

Tract 04013612302 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,824 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

04013612302 is a census tract in the Union Park at Norterra area of Phoenix, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. 35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 16% Owners 64%

Tract context

Occupied units1,683

Renter share35.5%

SVI overall0.42

Poverty rate8.6%

Median income$146,728

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.7352, -112.1135 · click any tract to drill in

Why Union Park at Norterra scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Phoenix

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

8.6% poverty · this tract

2.2

Supply constraint

$2,528 rent vs county FMR

8.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Phoenix

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Phoenix

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Phoenix

3.0

How Union Park at Norterra compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

26%Socioeconomic
67%Household composition
56%Racial/ethnic minority
45%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.1%Housing insecurity
4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
9.7%Food insecurity
6.3%SNAP enrollment
5.8%Transit barriers
7.0%No health insurance
14.3%Frequent mental distress
21.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Union Park at Norterra

At $2,528 a month, rents run 60% over what the rest of Phoenix commands. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The voucher gap is 29.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8/10. SNAP participation runs 6.3% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 9.7% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 4.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $146,728.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013612302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013612302?

Census tract 04013612302 in the Union Park at Norterra neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013612302?

Median gross rent is $2,528/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013612302?

8.6% of residents in tract 04013612302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,824.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013612302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 67th, minority 56th, housing 45th.

Is tract 04013612302 considered part of Union Park at Norterra?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013612302 fall within Union Park at Norterra (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04013612302 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013612302 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013612302 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.