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Neighborhood · Scottsdale, AZ

Heritage North Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 2,301 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Heritage North Ranch is a one-tract neighborhood of Scottsdale, AZ, population 2,301. The Eviction Risk Score is 3/10, in the Lower tier. 59% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Scottsdale rate of 29.2%.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 27%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. This is a renter market: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.5/10.

The filing record is not thin: 548 evictions logged in this tract. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.4% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. SNAP participation is 5.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2001, when filings touched 74.1% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 15.1% in 2005, is well off that peak. That places it #13 of 31 neighborhoods in Scottsdale.

For a like-for-like read, Buenavante and DC Ranch score within a fraction of it.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Heritage North Ranch vs Scottsdale How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
58.8% +101%
Scottsdale: 29.2%
Average gross rent
$1,962 -3%
Scottsdale: $2,013
Average HH income
$78,466 -27%
Scottsdale: $107,372
Poverty rate
5.8% -19%
Scottsdale: 7.1%
Renter share
74.7% +127%
Scottsdale: 33.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Heritage North Ranch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Heritage North Ranch scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Rent control risk
59% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
75% renter households · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Economic stress
5.8% below poverty line · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Risk score comparison

Heritage North Ranch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Heritage North Ranch score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Heritage North Ran: 3.03.0Heritage North RanNeighborhoodParent city: 3.23.2Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Heritage North Ranch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013216845 3 2,301 59% $1,962
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 37%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 7%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 39%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 62%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Heritage North Ranch

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 548Total filings (sum)
  • 46.42%Avg annual filing rate
  • 74.1%Peak year (2001)
  • 15.05%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Heritage North Ranch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Heritage North Ranch

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Heritage North Ranch?

Heritage North Ranch scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Heritage North Ranch compare to Scottsdale overall?

Heritage North Ranch scores 0.2 points lower than Scottsdale overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,962 vs $2,013.
Q3

What is the average rent in Heritage North Ranch?

Average gross rent in Heritage North Ranch is $1,962/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Heritage North Ranch residents are renters?

75% of Heritage North Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Scottsdale). The neighborhood has 2,301 residents.
Q5

Is Heritage North Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?

Heritage North Ranch sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Heritage North Ranch for landlords?

Heritage North Ranch carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Scottsdale as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Heritage North Ranch?

Heritage North Ranch has 3,040 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (76.2%), Hispanic / Latino (14.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Heritage North Ranch

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Scottsdale

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Heritage North Ranch.

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