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Neighborhood · Scottsdale, AZ

Shadow Rock Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 7,633 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3.1

Shadow Rock is a 2-tract neighborhood of Scottsdale, AZ and houses 7,633 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, in the Lower tier. 45% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Scottsdale rate of 29.2%.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Running cool is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1.5/10.

Severe burden reaches 16%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Court records carry 1,327 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2003, when filings touched 33.5% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 14.3% in 2005, is well off that peak. At $1,861 a month, rents sit 8% under what the rest of Scottsdale commands. Among the 31 mapped neighborhoods of Scottsdale, it ranks #13 by risk, the middle third.

For a like-for-like read, Buenavante and Taliesin West score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.1 points apart at the extremes.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $87,092.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Shadow Rock vs Scottsdale How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.0% +54%
Scottsdale: 29.2%
Average gross rent
$1,861 -8%
Scottsdale: $2,013
Average HH income
$87,092 -19%
Scottsdale: $107,372
Poverty rate
5.2% -27%
Scottsdale: 7.1%
Renter share
38.2% +16%
Scottsdale: 33.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Shadow Rock and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3.1

Why Shadow Rock scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
38% renter households · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Economic stress
5.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.6 across tracts
1.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1–5.7 across tracts
4.6
Risk score comparison

Shadow Rock vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Shadow Rock score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Shadow Rock: 3.03.0Shadow RockNeighborhoodParent city: 3.23.2Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Shadow Rock

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013218100 3.1 2,183 39% $2,078
04013218000 3 5,450 48% $1,774
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 32%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 7%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 63%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Shadow Rock

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,327Total filings (sum)
  • 21.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 33.5%Peak year (2003)
  • 14.27%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Shadow Rock

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Shadow Rock

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Shadow Rock?

Shadow Rock scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Shadow Rock compare to Scottsdale overall?

Shadow Rock scores 0.2 points lower than Scottsdale overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,861 vs $2,013.
Q3

What is the average rent in Shadow Rock?

Average gross rent in Shadow Rock is $1,861/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Shadow Rock residents are renters?

38% of Shadow Rock households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Scottsdale). The neighborhood has 7,633 residents.
Q5

Is Shadow Rock a high social-vulnerability area?

Shadow Rock sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Shadow Rock have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Shadow Rock is census tract 04013218100 (score 3.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.1, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Shadow Rock for landlords?

Shadow Rock carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Scottsdale as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Shadow Rock?

Shadow Rock has 7,340 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (61.1%), Hispanic / Latino (21%), Other / Multiracial (11.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Shadow Rock

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Scottsdale

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Shadow Rock.

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