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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Heritage North Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale

Tract 04013216845 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,301 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

04013216845 is a census tract in the Heritage North Ranch area of Scottsdale, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,301 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 31% Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,785
Renter share74.7%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$78,466

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Heritage North Ranch
Moderate
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 61 tracts In Scottsdale
High
Within county
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#737 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region

Centroid at 33.6450, -111.9094 · click any tract to drill in

Why Heritage North Ranch scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,962 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0

How Heritage North Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Heritage North Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 216845Scottsdale: 3.23.2Scottsdaleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 31

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 548Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 46.42%Avg annual filing rate
  • 74.1%Peak (2001)
  • 62Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040132168452001: 166 filings (74.13/100 renter HHs)2002: 112 filings (50.02/100 renter HHs)2003: 100 filings (44.66/100 renter HHs)2004: 108 filings (48.23/100 renter HHs)2005: 62 filings (15.05/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 63% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Heritage North Ranch

Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

This is renter territory: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10.

SNAP participation runs 5.0% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 548 filings here across 5 tracked years. Housing insecurity runs 6.4% against 14.2% nationally.

It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. The worst year on record was 2001, when 74.1% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 46.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 3.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $1,962, close to the Scottsdale average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013216845

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013216845?

Census tract 04013216845 in the Heritage North Ranch neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013216845?

Median gross rent is $1,962/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013216845?

5.8% of residents in tract 04013216845 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,301.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013216845?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 7th, minority 39th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 04013216845 considered part of Heritage North Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013216845 fall within Heritage North Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013216845?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 548 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013216845 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 46.42% of renter households, peaking at 74.1% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013216845 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013216845 compare to Scottsdale overall?

Tract 04013216845 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Scottsdale at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale

Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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