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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally

Shiloh Canyon Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale

Tract 04013216837 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,902 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 04013216837 belongs to the Shiloh Canyon neighborhood of Scottsdale, Arizona. It is home to 4,902 residents and scores 4.7/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 30% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,719 a month against an average household income of $71,961 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 71% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 37% Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units2,593
Renter share71.2%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$71,961

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Shiloh Canyon
Moderate
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 61 tracts In Scottsdale
Very High
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#604 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#1,206 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region

Centroid at 33.5890, -111.8373 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shiloh Canyon scores 2.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,719 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0

How Shiloh Canyon compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Shiloh Canyon risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.72.7This tracttract 216837Scottsdale: 2.32.3Scottsdaleparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 934Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 22.54%Avg annual filing rate
  • 28.3%Peak (2002)
  • 200Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040132168372001: 128 filings (16.19/100 renter HHs)2002: 224 filings (28.33/100 renter HHs)2003: 167 filings (21.12/100 renter HHs)2004: 215 filings (27.19/100 renter HHs)2005: 200 filings (19.85/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 56% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shiloh Canyon

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 3.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 934 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 22.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 28.3% of renter households in 2002.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013216837

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013216837?

Census tract 04013216837 in the Shiloh Canyon neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013216837?

Median gross rent is $1,719/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013216837?

8.3% of residents in tract 04013216837 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,902.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013216837?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 39th, minority 45th, housing 45th.
Q5

Is tract 04013216837 considered part of Shiloh Canyon?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013216837 fall within Shiloh Canyon (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013216837?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 934 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013216837 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.54% of renter households, peaking at 28.3% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013216837 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013216837 compare to Scottsdale overall?

Tract 04013216837 scores 2.7/10, higher than the parent city of Scottsdale at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale

Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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