Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally
Country Horizons Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale
Tract 04013216810 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 1,537 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Eviction risk in the Country Horizons area of Scottsdale centers on tract 04013216810, which scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 1,537 residents. That is riskier than about 30% of US census tracts.
About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,626 a month while the average household earns $80,046 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 60% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,119
Renter share59.9%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$80,046
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
32
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region
Centroid at 33.5753, -111.8821 · click any tract to drill in
Why Country Horizons scores 2.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,626 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0
How Country Horizons compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 19Total filings over 5 yrs
- 0.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.1%Peak (2004)
- 3Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Country Horizons. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.7%Housing insecurity
- 3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.6%Food insecurity
- 5.4%SNAP enrollment
- 4.7%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 11.8%Frequent mental distress
- 27.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Country Horizons
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 3.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013216810
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013216810?
Census tract 04013216810 in the Country Horizons neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013216810?
Median gross rent is $1,626/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013216810?
10.8% of residents in tract 04013216810 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,537.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013216810?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 51th, minority 39th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 04013216810 considered part of Country Horizons?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013216810 fall within Country Horizons (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013216810?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 19 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013216810 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.89% of renter households, peaking at 1.1% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013216810 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013216810 compare to Scottsdale overall?
Tract 04013216810 scores 2.7/10, higher than the parent city of Scottsdale at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale
Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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Main Street Arts District
3.8
/ 10 · Low
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Trails II
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Downtown Scottsdale
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Gainey Ranch
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013217700
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Santo Tomas
2.7
/ 10 · Low
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Santo Tomas
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Shiloh Canyon
2.7
/ 10 · Low
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