Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Santo Tomas Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale
Tract 04013216835 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,549 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 04013216835 sits in the Santo Tomas area of Scottsdale eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.3/10. Population here is 2,549. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,464
Renter share49.0%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$96,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region
Centroid at 33.5461, -111.9138 · click any tract to drill in
Why Santo Tomas scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$2,136 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0
How Santo Tomas compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 33%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 444Total filings over 5 yrs
- 31.93%Avg annual filing rate
- 45.9%Peak (2003)
- 51Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 45% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Santo Tomas. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.6%Housing insecurity
- 3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.4%Food insecurity
- 5.2%SNAP enrollment
- 4.9%Transit barriers
- 5.9%No health insurance
- 12.0%Frequent mental distress
- 27.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Santo Tomas
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10.
40% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. SNAP participation runs 5.2% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 444 filings here across 5 tracked years.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2003 at 45.9% of renter households.
In a typical year about 31.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #61,558 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013216835
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013216835?
Census tract 04013216835 in the Santo Tomas neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013216835?
Median gross rent is $2,136/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013216835?
14.4% of residents in tract 04013216835 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,549.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013216835?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 33th, minority 29th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 04013216835 considered part of Santo Tomas?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013216835 fall within Santo Tomas (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013216835?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 444 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013216835 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 31.93% of renter households, peaking at 45.9% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013216835 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013216835 compare to Scottsdale overall?
Tract 04013216835 scores 3.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Scottsdale at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale
Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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Main Street Arts District
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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Downtown Scottsdale
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Trails II
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Gainey Ranch
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013217700
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Shiloh Canyon
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Country Horizons
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Santo Tomas
3.3
/ 10 · Low
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