Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Main Street Arts District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Scottsdale
Tract 04013217501 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,291 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
04013217501 is a census tract in the Main Street Arts District area of Scottsdale, AZ. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,291. Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units1,478
Renter share77.4%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate18.0%
Median income$50,769
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region
Centroid at 33.4864, -111.9387 · click any tract to drill in
Why Main Street Arts District scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
18.0% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,509 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0
How Main Street Arts District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 445Total filings over 5 yrs
- 7.50%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.1%Peak (2004)
- 94Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 19% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Main Street Arts District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.7%Housing insecurity
- 8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.2%Food insecurity
- 13.3%SNAP enrollment
- 10.0%Transit barriers
- 14.5%No health insurance
- 16.3%Frequent mental distress
- 29.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Main Street Arts District
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. This is renter territory: 77% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $50,769, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10.
At $1,509 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Scottsdale commands. The filing record is not thin: 445 evictions over 5 years of observation.
Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. Filings peaked in 2004 at 10.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.5% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013217501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013217501?
Census tract 04013217501 in the Main Street Arts District neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013217501?
Median gross rent is $1,509/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013217501?
18.0% of residents in tract 04013217501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,291.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013217501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 52th, minority 69th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 04013217501 considered part of Main Street Arts District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013217501 fall within Main Street Arts District (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013217501?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 445 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013217501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.50% of renter households, peaking at 10.1% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013217501 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013217501 compare to Scottsdale overall?
Tract 04013217501 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Scottsdale at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale
Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Downtown Scottsdale
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Trails II
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Gainey Ranch
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013217700
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Shiloh Canyon
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Country Horizons
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Santo Tomas
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Santo Tomas
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Related
Explore the geography around tract 04013217501
Parent city ↑
Scottsdale
3.2 / 10
Parent county ↑
Maricopa
Parent state ↑
Arizona
Sibling tract →
Main Street Arts District
3 / 10
Sibling tract →
Main Street Arts District
3 / 10
Sibling tract →
Main Street Arts District
3 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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