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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally

Main Street Arts District Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale

Tract 04013217501 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,291 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 04013217501 belongs to Main Street Arts District in Scottsdale, Arizona. It is home to 3,291 residents and scores 4.9/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 37% of US census tracts.

About 46% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,509 a month against an average household income of $50,769 a year, roughly 36% of income at the averages. About 77% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 42% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units1,478
Renter share77.4%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate18.0%
Median income$50,769

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Main Street Arts District
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 61 tracts In Scottsdale
Very High
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#347 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#769 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region

Centroid at 33.4864, -111.9387 · click any tract to drill in

Why Main Street Arts District scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
18.0% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,509 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0

How Main Street Arts District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Main Street Arts District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.83.8This tracttract 217501Scottsdale: 2.32.3Scottsdaleparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 445Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 7.50%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.1%Peak (2004)
  • 94Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040132175012001: 79 filings (6.67/100 renter HHs)2002: 72 filings (6.08/100 renter HHs)2003: 81 filings (6.84/100 renter HHs)2004: 119 filings (10.05/100 renter HHs)2005: 94 filings (7.87/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 19% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Main Street Arts District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Main Street Arts District

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 4.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 445 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 7.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.1% of renter households in 2004.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013217501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013217501?

Census tract 04013217501 in the Main Street Arts District neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013217501?

Median gross rent is $1,509/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013217501?

18.0% of residents in tract 04013217501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,291.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013217501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 52th, minority 69th, housing 85th.
Q5

Is tract 04013217501 considered part of Main Street Arts District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013217501 fall within Main Street Arts District (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013217501?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 445 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013217501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.50% of renter households, peaking at 10.1% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013217501 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013217501 compare to Scottsdale overall?

Tract 04013217501 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Scottsdale at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale

Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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