Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Scottsdale Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04013217204 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,025 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
04013217204 is a census tract in the Downtown Scottsdale area of Scottsdale, AZ. It scores 4.1/10 for landlords. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,783
Renter share68.6%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate13.8%
Median income$63,598
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
98
th percentile
Very High
Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region
Centroid at 33.5003, -111.9142 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Scottsdale scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
13.8% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,459 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0
How Downtown Scottsdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,881Total filings over 5 yrs
- 74.60%Avg annual filing rate
- 81.6%Peak (2002)
- 258Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 31% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown Scottsdale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.7%Housing insecurity
- 5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.1%Food insecurity
- 8.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.5%Transit barriers
- 9.7%No health insurance
- 16.0%Frequent mental distress
- 25.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Scottsdale
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
At $1,459 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of Scottsdale commands. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. Court records carry 1,881 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
Cost burden runs 41% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. SNAP participation runs 8.2% against 15.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2002, when 81.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 74.6% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #47,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.7/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $63,598.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013217204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013217204?
Census tract 04013217204 in the Downtown Scottsdale neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013217204?
Median gross rent is $1,459/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013217204?
13.8% of residents in tract 04013217204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,025.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013217204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 18th, minority 44th, housing 53th.
Q5
Is tract 04013217204 considered part of Downtown Scottsdale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013217204 fall within Downtown Scottsdale (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013217204?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,881 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013217204 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 74.60% of renter households, peaking at 81.6% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013217204 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013217204 compare to Scottsdale overall?
Tract 04013217204 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Scottsdale at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale
Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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Trails II
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Gainey Ranch
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013217700
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Shiloh Canyon
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Country Horizons
3.4
/ 10 · Low
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Santo Tomas
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Santo Tomas
3.3
/ 10 · Low
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