Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Scottsdale Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 04013217204 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,025 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 04013217204 covers Downtown Scottsdale in Scottsdale, home to 3,025 residents. For landlords it grades 4.7/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 30th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 41% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,459 a month against an average household income of $63,598 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 69% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,783
Renter share68.6%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate13.8%
Median income$63,598
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
98
th percentile
Very High
Within county
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
43
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region
Centroid at 33.5003, -111.9142 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Scottsdale scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
13.8% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,459 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0
How Downtown Scottsdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,881Total filings over 5 yrs
- 74.60%Avg annual filing rate
- 81.6%Peak (2002)
- 258Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 31% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown Scottsdale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.7%Housing insecurity
- 5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.1%Food insecurity
- 8.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.5%Transit barriers
- 9.7%No health insurance
- 16.0%Frequent mental distress
- 25.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Scottsdale
What moves this score most is economic stress at 3.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,881 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 74.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 81.6% of renter households in 2002.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013217204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013217204?
Census tract 04013217204 in the Downtown Scottsdale neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013217204?
Median gross rent is $1,459/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013217204?
13.8% of residents in tract 04013217204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,025.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013217204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 18th, minority 44th, housing 53th.
Q5
Is tract 04013217204 considered part of Downtown Scottsdale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013217204 fall within Downtown Scottsdale (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013217204?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,881 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013217204 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 74.60% of renter households, peaking at 81.6% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013217204 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013217204 compare to Scottsdale overall?
Tract 04013217204 scores 3.2/10, higher than the parent city of Scottsdale at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale
Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Main Street Arts District
3.8
/ 10 · Low
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Trails II
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Gainey Ranch
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013217700
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Santo Tomas
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Santo Tomas
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Shiloh Canyon
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Country Horizons
2.7
/ 10 · Low
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