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Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally

Santo Tomas Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale

Tract 04013216834 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,241 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 04013216834 sits in the Santo Tomas area of Scottsdale eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.3/10. It is home to 3,241 residents. Cost burden runs about one in five here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 19% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,419
Renter share24.5%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate23.2%
Median income$140,069

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Santo Tomas
Very High
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 61 tracts In Scottsdale
High
Within county
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#519 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#944 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region

Centroid at 33.5550, -111.9180 · click any tract to drill in

Why Santo Tomas scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
23.2% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.0

How Santo Tomas compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Santo Tomas risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.33.3This tracttract 216834Scottsdale: 3.23.2Scottsdaleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 31

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 7Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 0.51%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.7%Peak (2001)
  • 3Filings in 2003 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040132168342001: 3 filings (0.65/100 renter HHs)2002: 1 filings (0.22/100 renter HHs)2003: 3 filings (0.65/100 renter HHs)2004: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2005: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Santo Tomas. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Santo Tomas

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. Average gross rent is $3,501, 74% above the Scottsdale average. The voucher gap is 79.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Food insecurity runs 7.3% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 5.6% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 7 filings here across 3 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2001, when 0.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 0.5% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #61,558 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 25% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013216834

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013216834?

Census tract 04013216834 in the Santo Tomas neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013216834?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013216834?

23.2% of residents in tract 04013216834 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,241.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013216834?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 93th, minority 53th, housing 9th.
Q5

Is tract 04013216834 considered part of Santo Tomas?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013216834 fall within Santo Tomas (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013216834?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 04013216834 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.51% of renter households, peaking at 0.7% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013216834 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013216834 compare to Scottsdale overall?

Tract 04013216834 scores 3.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Scottsdale at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale

Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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