Neighborhood · Ranked #50,269 of 84,120 nationally

Sierra Eviction Risk: Moderate , Surprise

Tract 04013040524 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 1,657 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 04013040524 sits in the Sierra neighborhood of Surprise, Arizona. It has a population of 1,657 and an eviction-risk score of 5.0/10 (Moderate tier). 53% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 0% severely cost-burdened (≥50%).

Risk score

5.0

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 3% Owners 94%

Tract context

Occupied units868

Renter share5.6%

SVI overall0.23

Poverty rate11.4%

Median income$86,806

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Surprise and the region

Centroid at 33.6759, -112.4170 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sierra scores 5.0

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Surprise

2.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

11.4% poverty · this tract

2.9

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Surprise

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Surprise

1.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Surprise

2.0

How Sierra compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

55%Socioeconomic
12%Household composition
17%Racial/ethnic minority
15%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sierra. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

3.5%Housing insecurity
2.4%Utility-shutoff threat
7.2%Food insecurity
5.7%SNAP enrollment
4.0%Transit barriers
5.1%No health insurance
8.7%Frequent mental distress
39.6%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 04013040524

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013040524?

Census tract 04013040524 in the Sierra neighborhood scores 5.0/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013040524?

11.4% of residents in tract 04013040524 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,657.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013040524?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 12th, minority 17th, housing 15th.

Is tract 04013040524 considered part of Sierra?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013040524 fall within Sierra (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04013040524 struggle to pay rent?

About 3.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.4% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013040524 compare to Surprise overall?

Tract 04013040524 scores 5.0/10 — higher than the parent city of Surprise at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Surprise eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Surprise

Top eight tracts in Surprise ranked by composite eviction-risk score.