Census Tract · Ranked #50,269 of 84,120 nationally

Surprise Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013040540 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,540 · 63% of tract blocks fall in Surprise

Census tract 04013040540 is in Surprise, Arizona. It has a population of 5,540 and an eviction-risk score of 5.0/10 (Moderate tier). 91% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 39% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,606/month against a median household income of $99,139 — roughly 32% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

5.0

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 1% Owners 86%

Tract context

Occupied units2,121

Renter share14.0%

SVI overall0.32

Poverty rate7.5%

Median income$99,139

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Surprise and the region

Centroid at 33.6917, -112.4963 · click any tract to drill in

Why Surprise scores 5.0

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Surprise

2.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

7.5% poverty · this tract

1.9

Supply constraint

$2,606 rent vs county FMR

8.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Surprise

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Surprise

1.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Surprise

2.0

How Surprise compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

41%Socioeconomic
27%Household composition
62%Racial/ethnic minority
24%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.9%Housing insecurity
6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
15.5%Food insecurity
10.6%SNAP enrollment
8.5%Transit barriers
13.3%No health insurance
15.9%Frequent mental distress
29.6%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 04013040540

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013040540?

Census tract 04013040540 in Surprise scores 5.0/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013040540?

Median gross rent is $2,606/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 91% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013040540?

7.5% of residents in tract 04013040540 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,540.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013040540?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 27th, minority 62th, housing 24th.

What share of households in tract 04013040540 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013040540 compare to Surprise overall?

Tract 04013040540 scores 5.0/10 — higher than the parent city of Surprise at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Surprise eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Surprise

Top eight tracts in Surprise ranked by composite eviction-risk score.