Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,269 of 84,120 nationally
Bell West Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Surprise
Tract 04013061026 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,249 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 04013061026 sits in the Bell West Ranch neighborhood of Surprise, Arizona. It has a population of 6,249 and an eviction-risk score of 5.0/10 (Moderate tier). 55% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 29% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,246/month against a median household income of $100,417 — roughly 27% rent-to-income at the medians.
Risk score
5.0
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,031
Renter share23.2%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$100,417
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
89
th percentile
High
Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
54
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Surprise and the region
Centroid at 33.6316, -112.4181 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bell West Ranch scores 5.0
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Surprise
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,246 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Surprise
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Surprise
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Surprise
2.0
How Bell West Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 56%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 74Total filings over 3 yrs
- 546.07%Avg annual filing rate
- 116.3%Peak (2005)
- 48Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bell West Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.1%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.7%Food insecurity
- 8.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.4%Transit barriers
- 10.5%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 29.0%Any disability
Frequently asked
About tract 04013061026
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061026?
Census tract 04013061026 in the Bell West Ranch neighborhood scores 5.0/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013061026?
Median gross rent is $2,246/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061026?
8.1% of residents in tract 04013061026 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,249.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061026?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 65th, minority 53th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 04013061026 considered part of Bell West Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061026 fall within Bell West Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061026?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 74 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 04013061026 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 546.07% of renter households, peaking at 116.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013061026 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013061026 compare to Surprise overall?
Tract 04013061026 scores 5.0/10 — higher than the parent city of Surprise at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Surprise eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Surprise
Top eight tracts in Surprise ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Surprise Original Townsite
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Veramonte
5.0
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013040540
5.0
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Arapaho Village
5.0
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Sierra
5.0
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Sierra
5.0
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Arizona Traditions
5.0
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Prasada
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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