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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Acoma Court Eviction Risk: Lower , Surprise

Tract 04013061027 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,300 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

The Acoma Court area of Surprise anchors census tract 04013061027, which lands at 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #63,914 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

31% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,183 a month while the average household earns $86,645 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 28% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 20% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,079
Renter share28.5%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$86,645

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Acoma Court
Very High
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#9 of 29 tracts In Surprise
Elevated
Within county
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#622 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#1,243 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Surprise and the region

Centroid at 33.6315, -112.4017 · click any tract to drill in

Why Acoma Court scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Surprise
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$2,183 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Surprise
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Surprise
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Surprise
2.0

How Acoma Court compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Acoma Court risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.62.6This tracttract 061027Surprise: 2.42.4Surpriseparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 88Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 32.74%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.8%Peak (2005)
  • 32Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130610272001: 2 filings (5.71/100 renter HHs)2002: 9 filings (25.70/100 renter HHs)2003: 21 filings (59.96/100 renter HHs)2004: 24 filings (68.53/100 renter HHs)2005: 32 filings (3.78/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 1,500% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Acoma Court. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Acoma Court

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 6.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Surprise eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and below the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 88 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 32.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.8% of renter households in 2005.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061027

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061027?

Census tract 04013061027 in the Acoma Court neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013061027?

Median gross rent is $2,183/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061027?

10.8% of residents in tract 04013061027 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,300.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061027?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 63th, minority 41th, housing 40th.
Q5

Is tract 04013061027 considered part of Acoma Court?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061027 fall within Acoma Court (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061027?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 88 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013061027 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 32.74% of renter households, peaking at 3.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013061027 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013061027 compare to Surprise overall?

Tract 04013061027 scores 2.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Surprise at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Surprise eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Surprise

Top eight tracts in Surprise ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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