2 census tracts · pop 10,747 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10
· range 3–3.4
Bell West Ranch spans 2 census tracts of Surprise, AZ and houses 10,747 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.2/10, Lower tier. roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Surprise rate of 32.2%.
Severe burden reaches 28%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10.
Well under the midpoint is housing-court posture, at 2/10. Court records carry 81 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2005, when filings touched 116.3% of renter households.
Among the 16 mapped neighborhoods of Surprise, it ranks #6 by risk, the middle third. Judgments average 58.1% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. At 17% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.
The closest comparables inside the same city are Taos and Acoma Court. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.4 points apart at the extremes.
Average gross rent runs $2,123, close to the Surprise average. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $92,503.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Bell West Ranch vs SurpriseHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority47%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport63%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Bell West Ranch
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
81Total filings (sum)
319.86%Avg annual filing rate
116.3%Peak year (2005)
68.77%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bell West Ranch
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
8.6%Housing insecurity
5.0%Utility shutoff threat
11.3%Food insecurity
7.8%SNAP enrollment
9.7%No health insurance
31.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Bell West Ranch
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Bell West Ranch?
Bell West Ranch scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Bell West Ranch compare to Surprise overall?
Bell West Ranch scores 0.0 points higher than Surprise overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,123 vs $2,033.
Q3
What is the average rent in Bell West Ranch?
Average gross rent in Bell West Ranch is $2,123/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Bell West Ranch residents are renters?
17% of Bell West Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 21% in Surprise). The neighborhood has 10,747 residents.
Q5
Is Bell West Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?
Bell West Ranch sits in the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Bell West Ranch have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Bell West Ranch is census tract 04013040527 (score 3.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.4, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7
How safe is Bell West Ranch for landlords?
Bell West Ranch carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Surprise as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Bell West Ranch?
Bell West Ranch has 11,267 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (66.8%), Hispanic / Latino (17%), Other / Multiracial (8.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
