Sierra Montana Eviction Risk: Lower , Surprise

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. 12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The voucher gap is 17.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Average gross rent is $2,289, 13% above the Surprise average. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.2/10.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $135,635.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.