Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Sierra Montana Eviction Risk: Lower , Surprise
Tract 04013061060 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,083 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 04013061060 in the Sierra Montana area of Surprise, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,083. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units930
Renter share28.1%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$93,542
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
38
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Surprise and the region
Centroid at 33.6163, -112.4324 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sierra Montana scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Surprise
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$2,069 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Surprise
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Surprise
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Surprise
2.0
How Sierra Montana compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sierra Montana. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.3%Food insecurity
- 9.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.8%Transit barriers
- 10.5%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 25.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sierra Montana
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 53% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7.
Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $2,069, close to the Surprise average.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $93,542. 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013061060
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061060?
Census tract 04013061060 in the Sierra Montana neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013061060?
Median gross rent is $2,069/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061060?
8.4% of residents in tract 04013061060 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,083.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061060?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 89th, minority 60th, housing 6th.
Q5
Is tract 04013061060 considered part of Sierra Montana?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061060 fall within Sierra Montana (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013061060 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013061060 compare to Surprise overall?
Tract 04013061060 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Surprise at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Surprise eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Surprise
Top eight tracts in Surprise ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Surprise Original Townsite
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Shawnee Village
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Arapaho Village
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Surprise Original Townsite
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Veramonte
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Arizona Traditions
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Bell West Ranch
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Sierra
3.3
/ 10 · Low
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