Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Hohokam Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa

Tract 04013420506 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,430 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 04013420506 covers part of the Hohokam Village area of Mesa, AZ, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,430. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 39% Owners 32%

Tract context

Occupied units1,373

Renter share67.6%

SVI overall0.75

Poverty rate15.8%

Median income$54,720

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.4441, -111.8355 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hohokam Village scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Mesa

3.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

15.8% poverty · this tract

4.0

Supply constraint

$1,254 rent vs county FMR

1.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Mesa

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Mesa

2.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Mesa

2.5

How Hohokam Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

87%Socioeconomic
41%Household composition
75%Racial/ethnic minority
58%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Hohokam Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.5%Housing insecurity
9.1%Utility-shutoff threat
21.8%Food insecurity
15.4%SNAP enrollment
11.7%Transit barriers
16.7%No health insurance
18.2%Frequent mental distress
31.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hohokam Village

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.4/10.

This is renter territory: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Average gross rent is $1,254, 23% below the Mesa average. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.

On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 42% of renters. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $54,720.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013420506

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013420506?

Census tract 04013420506 in the Hohokam Village neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013420506?

Median gross rent is $1,254/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013420506?

15.8% of residents in tract 04013420506 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,430.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013420506?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 41th, minority 75th, housing 58th.

Is tract 04013420506 considered part of Hohokam Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013420506 fall within Hohokam Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04013420506 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013420506 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013420506 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.