Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Mesa Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013522802 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 716

Census tract 04013522802 covers part of Mesa, AZ, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 716. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 65% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units186
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate45.8%
Median income$58,289

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 133 tracts In Mesa
High
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#250 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#397 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
High
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.3020, -111.6782 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mesa scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
45.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$584 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5

How Mesa compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mesa risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 522802Mesa: 3.23.2Mesaparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mesa

At $584 a month, rents run 64% under what the rest of Mesa commands. The poverty rate is 46%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Food insecurity runs 36.6% against 17.8% nationally. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. 35% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. Housing insecurity runs 21.4% against 14.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 3.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $58,289, annual rent is just 12%.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013522802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013522802?

Census tract 04013522802 in Mesa scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013522802?

Median gross rent is $584/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013522802?

45.8% of residents in tract 04013522802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 716.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013522802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 1th, minority 42th, housing 30th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 04013522802 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 04013522802 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013522802 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related