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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Manzanita Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Drexel Heights

Tract 04019002505 · Pima, AZ · pop 6,778 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Census tract 04019002505 covers part of the Manzanita Manor area of Tucson, AZ, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,778. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 29% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units2,238
Renter share48.7%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate20.8%
Median income$64,884

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Manzanita Manor
Very High
Within parent city
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#65 of 143 tracts In Drexel Heights
Moderate
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#74 of 270 tracts In Pima
Elevated
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#340 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Drexel Heights and the region

Centroid at 32.1554, -111.0001 · click any tract to drill in

Why Manzanita Manor scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Drexel Heights
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
20.8% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$1,329 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Drexel Heights
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Drexel Heights
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Drexel Heights
4.5

How Manzanita Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Manzanita Manor risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 002505Drexel Heights: 3.43.4Drexel Heightsparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,956Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 17.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 31.2%Peak (2005)
  • 236Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190025052004: 216 filings (26.73/100 renter HHs)2005: 247 filings (31.23/100 renter HHs)2006: 217 filings (27.43/100 renter HHs)2007: 229 filings (28.95/100 renter HHs)2008: 200 filings (25.28/100 renter HHs)2009: 117 filings (14.79/100 renter HHs)2010: 65 filings (7.07/100 renter HHs)2011: 86 filings (7.18/100 renter HHs)2012: 75 filings (6.27/100 renter HHs)2013: 113 filings (9.44/100 renter HHs)2016: 155 filings (9.95/100 renter HHs)2017: 236 filings (15.15/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Manzanita Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Manzanita Manor

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 23.3% against 11.3% nationally.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Average gross rent is $1,329, 16% above the Tucson average. It sits 0.9 points above the Pima County average of 3.9. The filing record is not thin: 1,956 evictions over 12 years of observation.

Food insecurity runs 25.5% against 17.8% nationally. The worst year on record was 2005, when 31.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 17.5% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019002505

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019002505?

Census tract 04019002505 in the Manzanita Manor neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019002505?

Median gross rent is $1,329/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019002505?

20.8% of residents in tract 04019002505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,778.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019002505?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 81th, minority 88th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 04019002505 considered part of Manzanita Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019002505 fall within Manzanita Manor (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019002505?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,956 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019002505 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.46% of renter households, peaking at 31.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04019002505 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04019002505 compare to Drexel Heights overall?

Tract 04019002505 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Drexel Heights at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Drexel Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Drexel Heights

Top eight tracts in Drexel Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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