Amphitheater Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson

58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Pima County average of 43.8%. The poverty rate is 38%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. This is renter territory: 81% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.1/10. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $30,111, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Average gross rent is $831, 27% below the Tucson average. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

Housing insecurity runs 24.1% against 14.2% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.3% against 11.3% nationally.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.