Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Tucson Estates Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 04019004435 ·
Pima, AZ · pop 4,204 · 98% of tract blocks fall in Tucson Estates
04019004435 is a census tract in Tucson Estates, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,204. 3% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Pima County average of 43.8%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%Stable renters 14%Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,525
Renter share14.9%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$71,679
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0th percentile
#4 of 4 tracts In Tucson Estates
Very Low
Within county
4th percentile
#260 of 270 tracts In Pima
Very Low
Within state
40th percentile
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
National
20th percentile
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson Estates and the region
Centroid at 32.1830, -111.1124 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tucson Estates scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson Estates
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,349 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson Estates
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson Estates
2.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson Estates
5.0
How Tucson Estates compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.5%Housing insecurity
6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
14.0%Food insecurity
9.5%SNAP enrollment
7.8%Transit barriers
14.8%No health insurance
14.5%Frequent mental distress
37.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tucson Estates
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.4/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2/10.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10. It sits 0.9 points below the Pima County average of 3.9.
Average gross rent is $1,349, 8% above the Tucson Estates average. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 4.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $71,679.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004435
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004435?
Census tract 04019004435 in Tucson Estates scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004435?
Median gross rent is $1,349/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 3% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004435?
8.0% of residents in tract 04019004435 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,204.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004435?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 74th, minority 76th, housing 20th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 04019004435 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 04019004435 compare to Tucson Estates overall?
Tract 04019004435 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Tucson Estates at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk Estates; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson Estates
Top eight tracts in Tucson Estates ranked by composite eviction-risk score.