Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,532 of 84,120 nationally
Amphitheater Eviction Risk: Elevated , Tucson
Tract 04019002604 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,895 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 04019002604 sits in the Amphitheater neighborhood of Tucson, Arizona. It has a population of 3,895 and an eviction-risk score of 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). 58% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 23% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $831/month against a median household income of $30,111 — roughly 33% rent-to-income at the medians.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units1,843
Renter share81.4%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate37.5%
Median income$30,111
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
94
th percentile
Very High
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2691, -110.9767 · click any tract to drill in
Why Amphitheater scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
37.5% poverty · this tract
9.4
Supply constraint
$831 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Amphitheater compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,994Total filings over 12 yrs
- 23.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 39.7%Peak (2006)
- 224Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Amphitheater. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.1%Housing insecurity
- 19.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.0%Food insecurity
- 35.0%SNAP enrollment
- 20.1%Transit barriers
- 20.3%No health insurance
- 22.6%Frequent mental distress
- 43.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About tract 04019002604
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019002604?
Census tract 04019002604 in the Amphitheater neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019002604?
Median gross rent is $831/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019002604?
37.5% of residents in tract 04019002604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,895.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019002604?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 72th, minority 81th, housing 100th.
Q5
Is tract 04019002604 considered part of Amphitheater?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019002604 fall within Amphitheater (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019002604?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,994 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019002604 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.53% of renter households, peaking at 39.7% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019002604 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.6% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019002604 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019002604 scores 6.3/10 — higher than the parent city of Tucson at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
West University
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
El Cortez
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Barrio Histórico District
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Jefferson Park
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Barrio Hollywood
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
04019003506
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
West University
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Pie Allen
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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