Within neighborhood
20
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Palo Verde Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Tucson
Tract 04019003504 · Pima, AZ · pop 2,781 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 04019003504 covers part of the Palo Verde Park area of Tucson, AZ, and scores 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,781. Against Pima County at 43.8%, 23% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,050
Renter share31.1%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate13.6%
Median income$76,563
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
28
th percentile
Low
Within county
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.1996, -110.8622 · click any tract to drill in
Why Palo Verde Park scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
13.6% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,221 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Palo Verde Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 429Total filings over 12 yrs
- 14.44%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.6%Peak (2013)
- 21Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 61% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Palo Verde Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.0%Housing insecurity
- 8.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.2%Food insecurity
- 11.6%SNAP enrollment
- 9.5%Transit barriers
- 13.3%No health insurance
- 17.1%Frequent mental distress
- 33.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Palo Verde Park
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
The filing record is not thin: 429 evictions over 12 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2013 at 16.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 14.4% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Pima County average of 3.9 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,221, close to the Tucson average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019003504
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019003504?
Census tract 04019003504 in the Palo Verde Park neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019003504?
Median gross rent is $1,221/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019003504?
13.6% of residents in tract 04019003504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,781.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019003504?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 42th, minority 67th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 04019003504 considered part of Palo Verde Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019003504 fall within Palo Verde Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019003504?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 429 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019003504 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.44% of renter households, peaking at 16.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019003504 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019003504 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019003504 scores 3.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Samos
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Miramonte
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019004117
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
West University
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Flowing Wells
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Rincon Heights
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019003901
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002801
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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