Within parent city
43
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Tucson Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04019004029 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,298
With a score of 4.4/10, tract 04019004029 in Tucson, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,298. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,781
Renter share38.0%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate16.2%
Median income$59,109
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
National
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.1701, -110.8324 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tucson scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
16.2% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,164 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Tucson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 241Total filings over 12 yrs
- 5.07%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.5%Peak (2005)
- 17Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.0%Housing insecurity
- 9.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.5%Food insecurity
- 14.4%SNAP enrollment
- 10.5%Transit barriers
- 14.4%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 36.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tucson
The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
The filing record is not thin: 241 evictions over 12 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2005, when 5.5% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 5.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #42,813 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 7.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 47% of renters. It tracks the Pima County average of 3.9 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004029
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004029?
Census tract 04019004029 in Tucson scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004029?
Median gross rent is $1,164/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004029?
16.2% of residents in tract 04019004029 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,298.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004029?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 95th, minority 60th, housing 32th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004029?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 241 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004029 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.07% of renter households, peaking at 5.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019004029 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019004029 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019004029 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04019004432
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
El Cortez
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Vandenberg Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Barrio Histórico District
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Emery Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Flowing Wells
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Jefferson Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Vandenberg Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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