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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Twelve Hundred River Condominums Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson

Tract 04019002704 · Pima, AZ · pop 2,600 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 4.8/10, tract 04019002704 in the Twelve Hundred River Condominums area of Tucson, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,600 residents. 63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Pima County average of 43.8%.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 18% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,158
Renter share49.8%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate18.3%
Median income$51,379

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Twelve Hundred River Condominums
Moderate
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#64 of 143 tracts In Tucson
Elevated
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#73 of 270 tracts In Pima
Elevated
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#340 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tucson and the region

Centroid at 32.2792, -110.9483 · click any tract to drill in

Why Twelve Hundred River Condominums scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
18.3% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,175 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5

How Twelve Hundred River Condominums compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Twelve Hundred River Condominums risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 002704Tucson: 3.83.8Tucsonparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Twelve Hundred River Condominums. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Twelve Hundred River Condominums

28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,175, close to the Tucson average.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $51,379. 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019002704

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019002704?

Census tract 04019002704 in the Twelve Hundred River Condominums neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019002704?

Median gross rent is $1,175/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019002704?

18.3% of residents in tract 04019002704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,600.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019002704?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 86th, minority 69th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 04019002704 considered part of Twelve Hundred River Condominums?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019002704 fall within Twelve Hundred River Condominums (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04019002704 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04019002704 compare to Tucson overall?

Tract 04019002704 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tucson

Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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