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Neighborhood · Coolidge, AZ

Heartland Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 8,908 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10 · range 4.7–4.7

Heartland maps to a single census tract in Coolidge, AZ, population 8,908. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.7/10, in the Moderate tier. 27% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent.

The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.6/10. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2/10.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.2/10. At 27% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,362, close to the Coolidge average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $68,974.

One tract means one number: 4.7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Heartland vs Coolidge How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
27.3% -5%
Coolidge: 28.7%
Average gross rent
$1,362 +4%
Coolidge: $1,314
Average HH income
$68,974 +21%
Coolidge: $57,161
Poverty rate
14.0% -37%
Coolidge: 22.2%
Renter share
27.1% 0%
Coolidge: 27.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Heartland and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.7–4.7

Why Heartland scores 4.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Rent control risk
27% of income on rent · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
27% renter households · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
14.0% below poverty line · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Risk score comparison

Heartland vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Heartland score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.7HeartlandNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Heartland

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
04021001100 4.7 8,908 27% $1,362
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 74

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 70%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 81%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 79%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 52%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Heartland

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Heartland

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Heartland?

Heartland scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Heartland compare to Coolidge overall?

Heartland scores 0.7 points higher than Coolidge overall (4/10). Renters spend 27% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,362 vs $1,314.
Q3

What is the average rent in Heartland?

Average gross rent in Heartland is $1,362/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Heartland residents are renters?

27% of Heartland households are renter-occupied (vs 27% in Coolidge). The neighborhood has 8,908 residents.
Q5

Is Heartland a high social-vulnerability area?

Heartland sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Heartland for landlords?

Heartland carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Coolidge as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Heartland?

Heartland has 8,964 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (58.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (30.8%), Other / Multiracial (7.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
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Other neighborhoods near Heartland

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