Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Villago Eviction Risk: Lower , Casa Grande
Tract 04021001310 ·
Pinal, AZ · pop 4,542 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 04021001310 sits in the Villago area of Casa Grande eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.2/10. Population here is 4,542. Severe burden reaches 43%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%Stable renters 4%Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,581
Renter share12.2%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$88,601
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Villago
Very Low
Within parent city
0th percentile
#15 of 15 tracts In Casa Grande
Very Low
Within county
37th percentile
#60 of 95 tracts In Pinal
Low
Within state
44th percentile
#983 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Casa Grande and the region
Centroid at 32.9605, -111.7378 · click any tract to drill in
Why Villago scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Casa Grande
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,003 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Casa Grande
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Casa Grande
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Casa Grande
6.8
How Villago compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
11.2%Housing insecurity
7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
14.3%Food insecurity
8.5%SNAP enrollment
7.3%Transit barriers
11.8%No health insurance
15.5%Frequent mental distress
30.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Villago
65% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Pinal County average of 37.6%. At $2,003 a month, rents run 45% over what the rest of Casa Grande commands.
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.4/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Pinal County average of 3.8 closely.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $88,601.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04021001310
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021001310?
Census tract 04021001310 in the Villago neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04021001310?
Median gross rent is $2,003/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04021001310?
5.6% of residents in tract 04021001310 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,542.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04021001310?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 67th, minority 74th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 04021001310 considered part of Villago?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021001310 fall within Villago (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04021001310 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04021001310 compare to Casa Grande overall?
Tract 04021001310 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Casa Grande at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casa Grande eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Casa Grande
Top eight tracts in Casa Grande ranked by composite eviction-risk score.