Castlegate Eviction Risk: Lower , San Tan Valley

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.5/10. At $1,457 a month, rents run 30% under what the rest of San Tan Valley commands. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.5/10. It sits 0.8 points below the Pinal County average of 3.8.

SNAP participation runs 8.2% against 15.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $99,612, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.