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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Copper Basin Eviction Risk: Lower , San Tan Valley

Tract 04021000212 · Pinal, AZ · pop 7,992 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 04021000212 sits in the Copper Basin area of San Tan Valley eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.1/10. It is home to 7,992 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.3/10.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 8% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units2,519
Renter share13.6%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$76,688

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Copper Basin
Very Low
Within parent city
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 19 tracts In San Tan Valley
Elevated
Within county
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#66 of 95 tracts In Pinal
Low
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#1,035 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Tan Valley and the region

Centroid at 33.1326, -111.5190 · click any tract to drill in

Why Copper Basin scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,724 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Tan Valley
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.9

How Copper Basin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Copper Basin risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.13.1This tracttract 000212San Tan Valley: 3.63.6San Tan Valleyparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Copper Basin. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Copper Basin

The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. At $1,724 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of San Tan Valley commands.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.4/10. It sits 0.7 points below the Pinal County average of 3.8.

Nationally it ranks #65,414 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 39% of renters.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $76,688.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021000212

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021000212?

Census tract 04021000212 in the Copper Basin neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04021000212?

Median gross rent is $1,724/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021000212?

5.2% of residents in tract 04021000212 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,992.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021000212?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 69th, minority 63th, housing 12th.
Q5

Is tract 04021000212 considered part of Copper Basin?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021000212 fall within Copper Basin (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04021000212 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04021000212 compare to San Tan Valley overall?

Tract 04021000212 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of San Tan Valley at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Tan Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Tan Valley

Top eight tracts in San Tan Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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