Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally

San Tan Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , San Tan Valley

Tract 04021000222 · Pinal, AZ · pop 6,588 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 04021000222 covers San Tan Heights in San Tan Valley in Arizona. Home to 6,588 residents, it scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 55th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 56% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,860 a month while the average household earns $108,997 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 17% of occupied homes.

Risk score

2.1

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 8% Owners 83%

Tract context

Occupied units2,181

Renter share17.0%

SVI overall0.25

Poverty rate9.5%

Median income$108,997

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Tan Valley and the region

Centroid at 33.1875, -111.6048 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Tan Heights scores 2.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Tan Valley

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

9.5% poverty · this tract

2.4

Supply constraint

$1,860 rent vs county FMR

4.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Tan Valley

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Tan Valley

4.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Tan Valley

4.9

How San Tan Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

33%Socioeconomic
79%Household composition
63%Racial/ethnic minority
3%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within San Tan Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.5%Housing insecurity
8.3%Utility-shutoff threat
15.4%Food insecurity
9.8%SNAP enrollment
8.2%Transit barriers
11.2%No health insurance
18.0%Frequent mental distress
28.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Tan Heights

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Tan Valley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pinal County average of 4.9 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021000222

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021000222?

Census tract 04021000222 in the San Tan Heights neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04021000222?

Median gross rent is $1,860/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021000222?

9.5% of residents in tract 04021000222 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,588.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021000222?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 79th, minority 63th, housing 3th.

Is tract 04021000222 considered part of San Tan Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021000222 fall within San Tan Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04021000222 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04021000222 compare to San Tan Valley overall?

Tract 04021000222 scores 2.1/10, lower than the parent city of San Tan Valley at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Tan Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Tan Valley

Top eight tracts in San Tan Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.