Neighborhood · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally

San Tan Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , San Tan Valley

Tract 04021000223 · Pinal, AZ · pop 5,356 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

In the San Tan Heights area of San Tan Valley, census tract 04021000223 scores 4.5/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #63,959 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

27% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,762 monthly, set against $94,483 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 13% of occupied homes.

Risk score

1.9

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 10% Owners 86%

Tract context

Occupied units1,528

Renter share13.2%

SVI overall0.23

Poverty rate2.4%

Median income$94,483

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Tan Valley and the region

Centroid at 33.1995, -111.6015 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Tan Heights scores 1.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Tan Valley

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

2.4% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,762 rent vs county FMR

4.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Tan Valley

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Tan Valley

4.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Tan Valley

4.9

How San Tan Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

41%Socioeconomic
12%Household composition
65%Racial/ethnic minority
16%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within San Tan Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.9%Housing insecurity
6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
13.0%Food insecurity
7.5%SNAP enrollment
7.1%Transit barriers
10.3%No health insurance
17.0%Frequent mental distress
27.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Tan Heights

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Tan Valley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Pinal County average of 4.9 and below the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021000223

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021000223?

Census tract 04021000223 in the San Tan Heights neighborhood scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04021000223?

Median gross rent is $1,762/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021000223?

2.4% of residents in tract 04021000223 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,356.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021000223?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 12th, minority 65th, housing 16th.

Is tract 04021000223 considered part of San Tan Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021000223 fall within San Tan Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04021000223 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04021000223 compare to San Tan Valley overall?

Tract 04021000223 scores 1.9/10, lower than the parent city of San Tan Valley at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Tan Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Tan Valley

Top eight tracts in San Tan Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.