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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

San Tan Valley Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04021000204 · Pinal, AZ · pop 13,272 · 51% of tract blocks fall in San Tan Valley

04021000204 is a census tract in San Tan Valley, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 13,272. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.2/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 7% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units4,333
Renter share9.9%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate4.6%
Median income$106,685

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#13 of 19 tracts In San Tan Valley
Low
Within county
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#76 of 95 tracts In Pinal
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Tan Valley and the region

Centroid at 33.2709, -111.5700 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Tan Valley scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
4.6% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,900 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Tan Valley
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Tan Valley
4.9

How San Tan Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
San Tan Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 000204San Tan Valley: 3.63.6San Tan Valleyparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 24

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Tan Valley

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.4/10. SNAP participation runs 6.1% against 15.2% nationally.

Against Pinal County at 37.6%, 33% of renters here are cost-burdened. Severe burden reaches 10%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Against the Pinal County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. Food insecurity runs 10.3% against 17.8% nationally.

At $1,900 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of San Tan Valley commands. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 3.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $106,685.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021000204

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021000204?

Census tract 04021000204 in San Tan Valley scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04021000204?

Median gross rent is $1,900/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021000204?

4.6% of residents in tract 04021000204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 13,272.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021000204?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 40th, minority 37th, housing 21th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 04021000204 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 04021000204 compare to San Tan Valley overall?

Tract 04021000204 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of San Tan Valley at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Tan Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Tan Valley

Top eight tracts in San Tan Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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