Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
South Fort Smith Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 05131001309 · Sebastian County, AR · pop 1,969 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 05131001309 covers part of the South Fort Smith area of Fort Smith, AR, and scores 3.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 45%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units841
Renter share33.1%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate19.8%
Median income$44,604
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fort Smith and the region
Centroid at 35.3187, -94.4105 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Fort Smith scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fort Smith
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.2
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.8% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$694 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Smith
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.5
How South Fort Smith compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Fort Smith. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.8%Housing insecurity
- 11.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.2%Food insecurity
- 13.8%SNAP enrollment
- 11.3%Transit barriers
- 12.9%No health insurance
- 21.1%Frequent mental distress
- 40.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Fort Smith
Cost burden runs 70% here against 38.9% across Sebastian County. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Running cool, housing-court posture reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $694, 21% below the Fort Smith average. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.5/10.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Sebastian County average of 3.6 closely.
Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $44,604. 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 05131001309
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05131001309?
Census tract 05131001309 in the South Fort Smith neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05131001309?
Median gross rent is $694/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05131001309?
19.8% of residents in tract 05131001309 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,969.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05131001309?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 99th, minority 57th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 05131001309 considered part of South Fort Smith?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05131001309 fall within South Fort Smith (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 05131001309 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 05131001309 compare to Fort Smith overall?
Tract 05131001309 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Smith at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Smith eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fort Smith
Top eight tracts in Fort Smith ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AR
05131000800
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05131001001
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
South Fort Smith
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05131000100
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05131000400
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05131000501
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05131000200
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05131000300
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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