Within parent city
55
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally
Fort Smith Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 05131000700 · Sebastian County, AR · pop 4,758
In Fort Smith, census tract 05131000700 scores 3.7/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 8% of US census tracts.
About 39% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $746 a month against an average household income of $43,500 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 65% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units2,010
Renter share65.1%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$43,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
61
th percentile
Elevated
National
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fort Smith and the region
Centroid at 35.3807, -94.3879 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fort Smith scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fort Smith
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.2
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$746 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Smith
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.5
How Fort Smith compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.8%Housing insecurity
- 13.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.8%Food insecurity
- 15.5%SNAP enrollment
- 13.3%Transit barriers
- 16.3%No health insurance
- 21.9%Frequent mental distress
- 40.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fort Smith
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 3.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fort Smith eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sebastian County average of 4.0 and below the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 18.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.
Frequently asked
About tract 05131000700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05131000700?
Census tract 05131000700 in Fort Smith scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05131000700?
Median gross rent is $746/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05131000700?
13.5% of residents in tract 05131000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,758.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05131000700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 81th, minority 55th, housing 63th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 05131000700 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 05131000700 compare to Fort Smith overall?
Tract 05131000700 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Smith at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Smith eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fort Smith
Top eight tracts in Fort Smith ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AR
05131000400
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
05131000501
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
05131000100
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
05131000800
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
05131001001
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
South Fort Smith
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
05131000200
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
05131000300
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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