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Census Tract · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Fort Smith Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 05131000600 · Sebastian County, AR · pop 4,990

Census tract 05131000600 covers part of Fort Smith, AR, and scores 3.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,990 residents. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 31% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units2,339
Renter share51.6%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate11.8%
Median income$47,730

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 23 tracts In Fort Smith
Moderate
Within county
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#18 of 31 tracts In Sebastian County
Moderate
Within state
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#509 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
Low
National
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#65,414 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Smith and the region

Centroid at 35.4010, -94.3562 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fort Smith scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Smith
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.2
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.8% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$825 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Smith
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.5

How Fort Smith compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fort Smith risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.1This tracttract 0006003.2Fort Smithparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fort Smith

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Running cool, housing-court posture reads 1.5/10. SNAP participation runs 7.5% against 15.2% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 22% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 41% of renters. It tracks the Sebastian County average of 3.6 closely. Average gross rent is $825, close to the Fort Smith average.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $47,730. 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 05131000600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05131000600?

Census tract 05131000600 in Fort Smith scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05131000600?

Median gross rent is $825/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05131000600?

11.8% of residents in tract 05131000600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,990.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05131000600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 45th, minority 28th, housing 91th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 05131000600 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 05131000600 compare to Fort Smith overall?

Tract 05131000600 scores 3.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Fort Smith at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Smith eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Smith

Top eight tracts in Fort Smith ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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