Census Tract · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

Fort Smith Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 05131000600 · Sebastian County, AR · pop 4,990

With a score of 3.7/10, tract 05131000600 in Fort Smith in Sebastian County ranks in the Lower tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,990 residents. That is riskier than roughly 8% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 41% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $825 monthly, set against $47,730 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 31% Owners 48%

Tract context

Occupied units2,339

Renter share51.6%

SVI overall0.62

Poverty rate11.8%

Median income$47,730

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Smith and the region

Centroid at 35.4010, -94.3562 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fort Smith scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Fort Smith

3.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.2

State political climate

Arkansas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

11.8% poverty · this tract

2.9

Supply constraint

$825 rent vs county FMR

4.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Fort Smith

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Fort Smith

2.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Fort Smith

1.5

How Fort Smith compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

46%Socioeconomic
45%Household composition
28%Racial/ethnic minority
91%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.3%Housing insecurity
7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
13.0%Food insecurity
7.5%SNAP enrollment
7.6%Transit barriers
8.8%No health insurance
16.9%Frequent mental distress
35.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fort Smith

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 4.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fort Smith eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sebastian County average of 4.0 and below the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 05131000600

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05131000600?

Census tract 05131000600 in Fort Smith scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 05131000600?

Median gross rent is $825/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 05131000600?

11.8% of residents in tract 05131000600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,990.

How socially vulnerable is tract 05131000600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 45th, minority 28th, housing 91th.

What share of households in tract 05131000600 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 05131000600 compare to Fort Smith overall?

Tract 05131000600 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Smith at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Smith eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Smith

Top eight tracts in Fort Smith ranked by composite eviction-risk score.