Census Tract · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Fort Smith Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 05131001312 · Sebastian County, AR · pop 3,998 · 97% of tract blocks fall in Fort Smith

Census tract 05131001312 covers part of Fort Smith, AR, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score

3.2

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 20% Owners 66%

Tract context

Occupied units1,712

Renter share33.4%

SVI overall0.66

Poverty rate15.5%

Median income$57,372

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Smith and the region

Centroid at 35.2983, -94.4005 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fort Smith scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Fort Smith

3.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.2

State political climate

Arkansas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

15.5% poverty · this tract

3.9

Supply constraint

$759 rent vs county FMR

3.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Fort Smith

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Fort Smith

2.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Fort Smith

1.5

How Fort Smith compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

65%Socioeconomic
83%Household composition
42%Racial/ethnic minority
46%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.5%Housing insecurity
8.3%Utility-shutoff threat
14.3%Food insecurity
8.2%SNAP enrollment
8.1%Transit barriers
9.9%No health insurance
18.3%Frequent mental distress
35.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fort Smith

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, housing-court posture reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $759, 14% below the Fort Smith average.

SNAP participation runs 8.2% against 15.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Against average income of $57,372, annual rent is just 16%. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 41% of renters. It tracks the Sebastian County average of 3.6 closely. 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 05131001312

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05131001312?

Census tract 05131001312 in Fort Smith scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 05131001312?

Median gross rent is $759/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 05131001312?

15.5% of residents in tract 05131001312 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,998.

How socially vulnerable is tract 05131001312?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 83th, minority 42th, housing 46th.

What share of households in tract 05131001312 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 05131001312 compare to Fort Smith overall?

Tract 05131001312 scores 3.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Fort Smith at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Smith eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Smith

Top eight tracts in Fort Smith ranked by composite eviction-risk score.