Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally
Fort Smith Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 05131001312 · Sebastian County, AR · pop 3,998 · 97% of tract blocks fall in Fort Smith
Fort Smith in Sebastian County is where census tract 05131001312 sits, home to 3,998 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 3.8/10. On the national scale it ranks #76,248 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 41% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $759 a month while the average household earns $57,372 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,712
Renter share33.4%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate15.5%
Median income$57,372
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fort Smith and the region
Centroid at 35.2983, -94.4005 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fort Smith scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fort Smith
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.2
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.5% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$759 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Smith
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.5
How Fort Smith compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.5%Housing insecurity
- 8.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.3%Food insecurity
- 8.2%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 9.9%No health insurance
- 18.3%Frequent mental distress
- 35.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fort Smith
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 3.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fort Smith eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sebastian County average of 4.0 and in line with the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.
Frequently asked
About tract 05131001312
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05131001312?
Census tract 05131001312 in Fort Smith scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05131001312?
Median gross rent is $759/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05131001312?
15.5% of residents in tract 05131001312 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,998.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05131001312?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 83th, minority 42th, housing 46th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 05131001312 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 05131001312 compare to Fort Smith overall?
Tract 05131001312 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Smith at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Smith eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fort Smith
Top eight tracts in Fort Smith ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AR
05131000100
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
05131000400
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
05131000501
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
05131000800
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
South Fort Smith
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
05131001001
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
05131000200
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
05131000300
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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