Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally

The Polo Greens Eviction Risk: Elevated , Bakersfield

Tract 06029003818 · Kern, CA · pop 5,687 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 06029003818 covers The Polo Greens in Bakersfield, home to 5,687 residents. For landlords it grades 6.1/10, an elevated reading. On the national scale it ranks #17,677 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

60% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 42% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,273 a month against an average household income of $103,023 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 14% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 6% Owners 86%

Tract context

Occupied units1,446

Renter share13.8%

SVI overall0.42

Poverty rate13.0%

Median income$103,023

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.4157, -119.1226 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Polo Greens scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

13.0% poverty · this tract

3.3

Supply constraint

$2,273 rent vs county FMR

10.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bakersfield

5.5

How The Polo Greens compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

35%Socioeconomic
46%Household composition
59%Racial/ethnic minority
43%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Polo Greens. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.4%Housing insecurity
7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
13.0%Food insecurity
12.0%SNAP enrollment
7.9%Transit barriers
7.1%No health insurance
18.1%Frequent mental distress
26.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Polo Greens

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kern County average of 6.1 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029003818

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029003818?

Census tract 06029003818 in the The Polo Greens neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06029003818?

Median gross rent is $2,273/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029003818?

13.0% of residents in tract 06029003818 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,687.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029003818?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 46th, minority 59th, housing 43th.

Is tract 06029003818 considered part of The Polo Greens?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06029003818 fall within The Polo Greens (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06029003818 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06029003818 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029003818 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Bakersfield at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.