Within neighborhood
83
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
The Polo Greens Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bakersfield
Tract 06029003818 · Kern, CA · pop 5,687 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 4.9/10, tract 06029003818 in the The Polo Greens area of Bakersfield, CA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,687 residents. 42% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,446
Renter share13.8%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate13.0%
Median income$103,023
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
37
th percentile
Low
Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
4
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region
Centroid at 35.4157, -119.1226 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Polo Greens scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.0% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$2,273 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bakersfield
5.5
How The Polo Greens compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Polo Greens. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.0%Food insecurity
- 12.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.9%Transit barriers
- 7.1%No health insurance
- 18.1%Frequent mental distress
- 26.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Polo Greens
The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. At $2,273 a month, rents run 54% over what the rest of Bakersfield commands.
The voucher gap is 64.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against Kern County at 49.2%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 1.5 points below the Kern County average of 6.4.
That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.7/10.
Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.6 points cooler. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $103,023.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06029003818
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029003818?
Census tract 06029003818 in the The Polo Greens neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06029003818?
Median gross rent is $2,273/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06029003818?
13.0% of residents in tract 06029003818 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,687.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06029003818?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 46th, minority 59th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 06029003818 considered part of The Polo Greens?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06029003818 fall within The Polo Greens (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06029003818 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06029003818 compare to Bakersfield overall?
Tract 06029003818 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Bakersfield at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield
Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
06029002001
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06029002815
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06029002002
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06029000912
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06029002100
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06029002201
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06029002202
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06029001301
7.5
/ 10 · High
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