Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally

Canyon Green Eviction Risk: Elevated , Novato

Tract 06041104103 · Marin, CA · pop 2,884 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

06041104103 is a census tract in the Canyon Green area of Novato, CA. It scores 6.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,884 residents. roughly one in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Marin County average of 51.0%.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 12% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,023
Renter share18.4%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate2.3%
Median income$162,213

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Canyon Green
Very Low
Within parent city
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 13 tracts In Novato
Very Low
Within county
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#43 of 62 tracts In Marin
Low
Within state
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#5,752 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Novato and the region

Centroid at 38.0845, -122.5745 · click any tract to drill in

Why Canyon Green scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Novato
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,446 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Novato
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Novato
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Novato
6.5

How Canyon Green compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Canyon Green risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.7This tracttract 1041037.5Novatoparent city7.3Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Canyon Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Canyon Green

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

Food insecurity runs 7.8% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 6.5% against 15.2% nationally.

Nationally it ranks #14,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 2.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Marin County average of 7.3 closely.

Average gross rent is $2,446, close to the Novato average. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $162,213.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06041104103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06041104103?

Census tract 06041104103 in the Canyon Green neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06041104103?

Median gross rent is $2,446/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06041104103?

2.3% of residents in tract 06041104103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,884.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06041104103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 34th, minority 53th, housing 40th.
Q5

Is tract 06041104103 considered part of Canyon Green?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06041104103 fall within Canyon Green (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06041104103 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06041104103 compare to Novato overall?

Tract 06041104103 scores 6.7/10, lower than the parent city of Novato at 7.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Novato; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Novato

Top eight tracts in Novato ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related