Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Canyon Green Eviction Risk: High , Novato

Tract 06041103200 · Marin, CA · pop 7,457 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

06041103200 is a census tract in the Canyon Green area of Novato, CA. It scores 8.1/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 45%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

8.1

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 9% Owners 65%

Tract context

Occupied units2,594

Renter share35.6%

SVI overall0.80

Poverty rate10.2%

Median income$105,423

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Novato and the region

Centroid at 38.0983, -122.5861 · click any tract to drill in

Why Canyon Green scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Novato

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.3

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

10.2% poverty · this tract

2.5

Supply constraint

$2,519 rent vs county FMR

2.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Novato

8.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Novato

7.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Novato

6.5

How Canyon Green compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

68%Socioeconomic
79%Household composition
51%Racial/ethnic minority
87%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Canyon Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.1%Housing insecurity
6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
12.9%Food insecurity
11.9%SNAP enrollment
7.3%Transit barriers
8.1%No health insurance
15.6%Frequent mental distress
31.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Canyon Green

Cost burden runs 74% here against 51.0% across Marin County. Pulling hardest the other way is court filing pressure at 1.1/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.3/10. It sits 0.8 points above the Marin County average of 7.3.

Nationally it ranks #7,382 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $2,519, close to the Novato average.

Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $105,423. 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06041103200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06041103200?

Census tract 06041103200 in the Canyon Green neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06041103200?

Median gross rent is $2,519/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06041103200?

10.2% of residents in tract 06041103200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,457.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06041103200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 79th, minority 51th, housing 87th.

Is tract 06041103200 considered part of Canyon Green?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06041103200 fall within Canyon Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06041103200 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06041103200 compare to Novato overall?

Tract 06041103200 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Novato at 7.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Novato; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Novato

Top eight tracts in Novato ranked by composite eviction-risk score.