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Neighborhood · Irvine, CA

Turtle Rock Vista Eviction Risk: High

6 census tracts · pop 25,032 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.1/10 · range 6.7–9.2

Turtle Rock Vista spans 6 census tracts of Irvine, CA, population 25,032. Scored across those inputs it reaches 8.1/10, placing it in the High tier. Against a Irvine baseline of 31.5%, about half of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Severe burden reaches 30%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 6.7 to 9.2, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. The poverty rate is 20%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

That places it #7 of 28 neighborhoods in Irvine. Average gross rent runs $2,852, close to the Irvine average.

Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $112,704. 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.5 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
8.1
High
6 tracts · population-weighted
Turtle Rock Vista vs Irvine How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
52.3% +66%
Irvine: 31.5%
Average gross rent
$2,852 -5%
Irvine: $2,997
Average HH income
$112,704 -13%
Irvine: $129,647
Poverty rate
19.9% +70%
Irvine: 11.7%
Renter share
60.1% +8%
Irvine: 55.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Turtle Rock Vista and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 6.7–9.2

Why Turtle Rock Vista scores 8.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
52% of income on rent · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
60% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Economic stress
19.9% below poverty line · Range 1.4–9.4 across tracts
5.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–7.1 across tracts
4.8
Risk score comparison

Turtle Rock Vista vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Turtle Rock Vista score vs. parent city, state, U.S.8.1Turtle Rock VistaNeighborhood7.8Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Turtle Rock Vista?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.5 points from 6.7 to 9.2. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

6 tracts in Turtle Rock Vista

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06059062611 9.2 4,641 60% $2,575
06059062627 9.2 3,970 74% $2,594
06059062626 9.2 2,633 61% $2,331
06059062650 7.9 4,981 42% $3,501
06059052519 7 4,243 46% $2,881
06059052523 6.7 4,564 37% $2,922
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 49

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 46%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 31%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 72%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 55%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Turtle Rock Vista

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Turtle Rock Vista

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Turtle Rock Vista?

Turtle Rock Vista scores 8.1/10 (High tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Turtle Rock Vista compare to Irvine overall?

Turtle Rock Vista scores 0.3 points higher than Irvine overall (7.8/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,852 vs $2,997.
Q3

What is the average rent in Turtle Rock Vista?

Average gross rent in Turtle Rock Vista is $2,852/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Turtle Rock Vista residents are renters?

60% of Turtle Rock Vista households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Irvine). The neighborhood has 25,032 residents.
Q5

Is Turtle Rock Vista a high social-vulnerability area?

Turtle Rock Vista sits in the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Turtle Rock Vista have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Turtle Rock Vista is census tract 06059062611 (score 9.2/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.7 to 9.2, a spread of 2.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Turtle Rock Vista for landlords?

Turtle Rock Vista carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.1/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Irvine as a whole (7.8/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Turtle Rock Vista?

Turtle Rock Vista has 23,375 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (43.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (37.8%), Hispanic / Latino (9.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Turtle Rock Vista

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Irvine

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Turtle Rock Vista.

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