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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

Turtle Rock Vista Eviction Risk: Elevated , Irvine

Tract 06059062650 · Orange, CA · pop 4,981 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 06059062650 covers part of the Turtle Rock Vista area of Irvine, CA, and scores 7.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.

Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 16% Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,574
Renter share26.7%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate16.7%
Median income$151,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 6 tracts In Turtle Rock Vista
Moderate
Within parent city
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 49 tracts In Irvine
High
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#175 of 613 tracts In Orange
Elevated
Within state
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#3,732 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Irvine and the region

Centroid at 33.6628, -117.8194 · click any tract to drill in

Why Turtle Rock Vista scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Irvine
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
16.7% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Irvine
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Irvine
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Irvine
6.3

How Turtle Rock Vista compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Turtle Rock Vista risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.9This tracttract 0626507.8Irvineparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Turtle Rock Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Turtle Rock Vista

Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against Orange County at 51.8%, 42% of renters here are cost-burdened.

The voucher gap is 20.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, supply constraint reads 7.1/10. Average gross rent is $3,501, 17% above the Irvine average.

Against the Orange County average of 7.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. Food insecurity runs 9.7% against 17.8% nationally.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 6.9/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.3% against 11.3% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 90th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.2/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $151,250. 27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059062650

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059062650?

Census tract 06059062650 in the Turtle Rock Vista neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059062650?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059062650?

16.7% of residents in tract 06059062650 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,981.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059062650?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 23th, minority 63th, housing 42th.
Q5

Is tract 06059062650 considered part of Turtle Rock Vista?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059062650 fall within Turtle Rock Vista (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059062650 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059062650 compare to Irvine overall?

Tract 06059062650 scores 7.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Irvine at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Irvine eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Irvine

Top eight tracts in Irvine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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