Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Turtle Rock Vista Eviction Risk: Moderate , Irvine

Tract 06059052519 · Orange, CA · pop 4,243 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

In the Turtle Rock Vista area of Irvine, census tract 06059052519 scores 5.7/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 66th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,881 a month against an average household income of $125,985 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 44% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 24% Owners 55%

Tract context

Occupied units1,506

Renter share44.2%

SVI overall0.34

Poverty rate6.3%

Median income$125,985

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Irvine and the region

Centroid at 33.6693, -117.8185 · click any tract to drill in

Why Turtle Rock Vista scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Irvine

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

6.3% poverty · this tract

1.6

Supply constraint

$2,881 rent vs county FMR

4.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Irvine

6.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Irvine

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Irvine

6.3

How Turtle Rock Vista compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 34

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

29%Socioeconomic
49%Household composition
67%Racial/ethnic minority
28%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Turtle Rock Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.5%Housing insecurity
4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
9.9%Food insecurity
7.8%SNAP enrollment
5.8%Transit barriers
4.7%No health insurance
14.9%Frequent mental distress
21.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Turtle Rock Vista

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Irvine eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 5.7 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059052519

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059052519?

Census tract 06059052519 in the Turtle Rock Vista neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06059052519?

Median gross rent is $2,881/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059052519?

6.3% of residents in tract 06059052519 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,243.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059052519?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 49th, minority 67th, housing 28th.

Is tract 06059052519 considered part of Turtle Rock Vista?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059052519 fall within Turtle Rock Vista (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06059052519 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06059052519 compare to Irvine overall?

Tract 06059052519 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Irvine at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Irvine eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Irvine

Top eight tracts in Irvine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.