Neighborhood · Murrieta, CA

Bear Creek Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,655 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.8/10 · range 2.8–2.8

Bear Creek is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Murrieta with 1 census tract and a population of 3,655 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.8/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 75% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 18% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $3,501/month sits 47% higher than the Murrieta citywide average ($2,388).

Risk score

2.8

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Bear Creek vs Murrieta How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

75.2% +121%

Murrieta: 34.0%

Average gross rent

$3,501 +47%

Murrieta: $2,388

Average HH income

$158,285 +44%

Murrieta: $109,780

Poverty rate

5.3% -11%

Murrieta: 5.9%

Renter share

13.0% -57%

Murrieta: 30.5%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bear Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 2.8–2.8

Why Bear Creek scores 2.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts

5.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Rent control risk

75% of income on rent · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts

7.8

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Tenant organizing strength

13% renter households · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts

6.7

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Economic stress

5.3% below poverty line · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts

1.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts

10.0

Risk score comparison

Bear Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Bear Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06065049701	2.8	3,655	75%	$3,501

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 14

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 16%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 49%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 51%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 6%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bear Creek

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

10.7%Housing insecurity
5.5%Utility shutoff threat
10.4%Food insecurity
8.3%SNAP enrollment
5.5%No health insurance
26.6%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Bear Creek

What is the eviction-risk score for Bear Creek?

Bear Creek scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Bear Creek compare to Murrieta overall?

Bear Creek scores 5.0 points lower than Murrieta overall (7.8/10). Renters spend 75% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $3,501 vs $2,388.

What is the average rent in Bear Creek?

Average gross rent in Bear Creek is $3,501/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Bear Creek residents are renters?

13% of Bear Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in Murrieta). The neighborhood has 3,655 residents.

Is Bear Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Bear Creek sits in the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Bear Creek for landlords?

Bear Creek carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Murrieta as a whole (7.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Bear Creek?

Bear Creek has 3,382 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (78.2%), Hispanic / Latino (14.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bear Creek

3.7 California Oaks 5 tracts · pop 30,317 2.8 Greer Ranch 2 tracts · pop 11,409 3.5 Murrieta Hot Springs 4 tracts · pop 21,517 3.5 Emery Place 2 tracts · pop 8,605 5.1 Summerly 2 tracts · pop 19,630 2.9 Antelope Hills 2 tracts · pop 15,311

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Murrieta

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bear Creek.

2.8 Greer Ranch 2 tracts · pop 11,409 2.7 Mapleton 1 tracts · pop 4,504 2.9 Antelope Hills 2 tracts · pop 15,311 3.3 Sutton Place 1 tracts · pop 6,445 3.4 Emery Place 2 tracts · pop 8,605 3.4 Murrieta Hot Springs 4 tracts · pop 21,517

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