1 census tracts · pop 3,655 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10
· range 5.2–5.2
Bear Creek maps to a single census tract in Murrieta, CA and houses 3,655 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.2/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Murrieta baseline of 34.0%, 75% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Average gross rent is $3,501, 47% above the Murrieta average of $2,388. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 51.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.
Running cool is economic stress, at 1.3/10. 18% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.8/10.
Among the 8 mapped neighborhoods of Murrieta, it ranks #6 by risk, the lower third. At 13% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.
The closest comparables inside the same city are Greer Ranch and Mapleton. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $158,285.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Bear Creek vs MurrietaHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport6%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bear Creek
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
10.7%Housing insecurity
5.5%Utility shutoff threat
10.4%Food insecurity
8.3%SNAP enrollment
5.5%No health insurance
26.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Bear Creek
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Bear Creek?
Bear Creek scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Bear Creek compare to Murrieta overall?
Bear Creek scores 1.4 points lower than Murrieta overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 75% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $3,501 vs $2,388.
Q3
What is the average rent in Bear Creek?
Average gross rent in Bear Creek is $3,501/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Bear Creek residents are renters?
13% of Bear Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in Murrieta). The neighborhood has 3,655 residents.
Q5
Is Bear Creek a high social-vulnerability area?
Bear Creek sits in the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Bear Creek for landlords?
Bear Creek carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Murrieta as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Bear Creek?
Bear Creek has 3,382 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (78.2%), Hispanic / Latino (14.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
