Antelope Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.1/10. The severe-burden share is 17%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.8/10.

The voucher gap is 13.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $2,620, 10% above the Murrieta average of $2,388. Among the 8 mapped neighborhoods of Murrieta, it ranks #5 by risk, the middle third.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Greer Ranch and Bear Creek. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Its 2 tracts score within 0.2 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $133,355. 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 5.3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.