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Neighborhood · Temecula, CA

Castle Pines Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 5,525 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10 · range 5.7–5.7

Castle Pines is a one-tract neighborhood of Temecula, CA, population 5,525. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.7/10, in the Moderate tier. Set annual rent against average household income of $109,063 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The voucher gap is 26.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.8/10. about a quarter of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, under the Temecula rate of 32.8%.

Average gross rent is $2,915, 24% above the Temecula average of $2,347. Running hot is supply constraint at 7.6/10.

On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.4/10. 5.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Among the 19 mapped neighborhoods of Temecula, it ranks #5 by risk, the upper third. At 11% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Solana Vista and Los Ranchitos score within a fraction of it.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Castle Pines vs Temecula How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
24.2% -26%
Temecula: 32.8%
Average gross rent
$2,915 +24%
Temecula: $2,347
Average HH income
$109,063 -7%
Temecula: $117,840
Poverty rate
7.1% -4%
Temecula: 7.4%
Renter share
11.2% -65%
Temecula: 32.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Castle Pines and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.7–5.7

Why Castle Pines scores 5.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
24% of income on rent · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
11% renter households · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Economic stress
7.1% below poverty line · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts
1.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Risk score comparison

Castle Pines vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Castle Pines score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Castle Pines: 5.75.7Castle PinesNeighborhoodParent city: 6.66.6Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Castle Pines

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06065043267 5.7 5,525 24% $2,915
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 35

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 32%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 58%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 52%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 26%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Castle Pines

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Castle Pines

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Castle Pines?

Castle Pines scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Castle Pines compare to Temecula overall?

Castle Pines scores 0.9 points lower than Temecula overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 24% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $2,915 vs $2,347.
Q3

What is the average rent in Castle Pines?

Average gross rent in Castle Pines is $2,915/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Castle Pines residents are renters?

11% of Castle Pines households are renter-occupied (vs 32% in Temecula). The neighborhood has 5,525 residents.
Q5

Is Castle Pines a high social-vulnerability area?

Castle Pines sits in the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Castle Pines for landlords?

Castle Pines carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Temecula as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Castle Pines?

Castle Pines has 5,623 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (63%), Hispanic / Latino (18.4%), Other / Multiracial (8.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Castle Pines

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Temecula

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Castle Pines.

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