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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally

Montecito Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chula Vista

Tract 06073013326 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,357 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 06073013326 sits in the Montecito area of Chula Vista eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.4/10. Population here is 4,357. Cost burden runs 78% here against 52.5% across San Diego County.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 4% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,143
Renter share17.1%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate0.9%
Median income$179,425

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Montecito
Very Low
Within parent city
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#43 of 54 tracts In Chula Vista
Low
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#578 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Low
Within state
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#6,341 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region

Centroid at 32.6140, -117.0158 · click any tract to drill in

Why Montecito scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
0.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,772 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.3

How Montecito compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Montecito risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.46.4This tracttract 013326Chula Vista: 7.87.8Chula Vistaparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Montecito. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Montecito

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10.

Disability prevalence runs 17.8% against 31.5% nationally. Average gross rent is $2,772, 24% above the Chula Vista average.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the national scale it lands near the 81st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073013326

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073013326?

Census tract 06073013326 in the Montecito neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073013326?

Median gross rent is $2,772/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 78% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073013326?

0.9% of residents in tract 06073013326 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,357.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073013326?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 51th, minority 91th, housing 2th.
Q5

Is tract 06073013326 considered part of Montecito?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073013326 fall within Montecito (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073013326 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073013326 compare to Chula Vista overall?

Tract 06073013326 scores 6.4/10, lower than the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista

Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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