Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Otay Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chula Vista

Tract 06073013307 · San Diego, CA · pop 5,047 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Eviction risk in the Otay area of Chula Vista centers on tract 06073013307, which scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 5,047 residents. That is riskier than roughly 81% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 60% of renter households, a severe level, and 43% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,068 a month against an average household income of $80,156 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 16% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 6% Owners 85%

Tract context

Occupied units1,287

Renter share15.9%

SVI overall0.90

Poverty rate21.5%

Median income$80,156

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region

Centroid at 32.5988, -117.0503 · click any tract to drill in

Why Otay scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chula Vista

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

21.5% poverty · this tract

5.4

Supply constraint

$2,068 rent vs county FMR

2.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chula Vista

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chula Vista

8.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chula Vista

6.3

How Otay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

95%Socioeconomic
65%Household composition
92%Racial/ethnic minority
73%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Otay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

25.2%Housing insecurity
12.3%Utility-shutoff threat
31.7%Food insecurity
30.0%SNAP enrollment
15.1%Transit barriers
18.9%No health insurance
18.2%Frequent mental distress
37.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Otay

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the San Diego County average of 5.8 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 25.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073013307

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073013307?

Census tract 06073013307 in the Otay neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073013307?

Median gross rent is $2,068/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073013307?

21.5% of residents in tract 06073013307 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,047.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073013307?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 65th, minority 92th, housing 73th.

Is tract 06073013307 considered part of Otay?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073013307 fall within Otay (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073013307 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073013307 compare to Chula Vista overall?

Tract 06073013307 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Chula Vista at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista

Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.