Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,529 of 84,120 nationally
Otay Eviction Risk: High , Chula Vista
Tract 06073013307 · San Diego, CA · pop 5,047 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 06073013307 sits in the Otay area of Chula Vista eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.2/10. Population here is 5,047. 43% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
9.2
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,287
Renter share15.9%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate21.5%
Median income$80,156
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region
Centroid at 32.5988, -117.0503 · click any tract to drill in
Why Otay scores 9.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
21.5% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$2,068 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.3
How Otay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Otay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.2%Housing insecurity
- 12.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 31.7%Food insecurity
- 30.0%SNAP enrollment
- 15.1%Transit barriers
- 18.9%No health insurance
- 18.2%Frequent mental distress
- 37.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Otay
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10. SNAP participation runs 30.0% against 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10.
Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. Food insecurity runs 31.7% against 17.8% nationally.
Cost burden runs 60% here against 52.5% across San Diego County. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.2/10.
The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.1/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073013307
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073013307?
Census tract 06073013307 in the Otay neighborhood scores 9.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073013307?
Median gross rent is $2,068/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073013307?
21.5% of residents in tract 06073013307 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,047.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073013307?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 65th, minority 92th, housing 73th.
Q5
Is tract 06073013307 considered part of Otay?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073013307 fall within Otay (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073013307 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073013307 compare to Chula Vista overall?
Tract 06073013307 scores 9.2/10, higher than the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista
Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Otay
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Sunny Vista
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Boal
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Castle Park
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Sunny Vista
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Harbor Side
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Fruitdale
9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Sunny Vista
9
/ 10 · Very High
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